FigureĀ 7
A bar graph showing the importance rankings of various features in a Random Forest model.A horizontal bar graph titled 'Random Forest Feature Importance Rankings' compares the importance of different features in a Random Forest model. The x-axis represents 'Feature Importance' with values ranging from 0.0 to 0.5. The y-axis lists the features: rolling_mean_3, price_change, lag_1, lag_2, lag_3, year, month, commodity_Rice (local), admin1_Yobe, commodity_Groundnuts (shelled), admin1_Borno, commodity_Millet, commodity_Cowpeas (brown), commodity_Yam, and admin1_Kaduna. The bars are colored blue. The rolling_mean_3 feature has the highest importance score at approximately 0.488, followed by price_change at 0.118, lag_1 at 0.117, lag_2 at 0.062, and lag_3 at 0.052. The remaining features have significantly lower importance scores, all below 0.05.

Random forest feature importance rankings showing the dominant contribution of temporal features to agricultural price prediction. (Source: Authors’ own work)

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