Figure 2
The image contains three rows of graphs, each row consisting of five graphs. The top row features line graphs showing sample autocorrelation diagrams. The middle row displays line graphs representing sample paths, while the bottom row contains line graphs illustrating posterior density diagrams. Each column corresponds to different parameters, labeled as s_b1, s_b2, s_a1, s_a2, s_h1, and s_h2. The sample autocorrelation diagrams in the top row show how the autocorrelation coefficient approaches zero as the number of simulations increases, indicating the elimination of correlation between generated samples. The sample paths in the middle row exhibit white noise trajectories around the posterior mean, demonstrating effective simulation of parameter distribution using the MCMC method. The posterior density diagrams in the bottom row show the convergence of sampling distribution to posterior distributions, validating the drawn samples. All values are approximated.Dynamic simulation paths for model 1 parameters