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Purpose

This paper aims to reduce flight delay propagation, improve flight punctuality rate and ensure aircraft maintenance opportunities by establishing an integrated aircraft scheduling model, aiming at minimizing the total propagated delay and direction operational cost.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, flight data sets are obtained through automatic dependent detection broadcast. To accurately predict flight delay time, the flight delay prediction eXtreme gradient boosting model adds the data set obtained by random forest advance model learning and predicts the newly generated flight delays. Finally, based on the forecast results, the flight plan can be optimized and adjusted by using the improved column generation algorithm.

Findings

It is verified by the actual weekly planned operation data of an airline company, experiments show that the model established in this paper can reduce flight delay propagation by 30% in case tests and each aircraft has the opportunity to be repaired at the base airport.

Originality/value

Optimize the aircraft scheduling plan, cover a wide range of data, not just a single route and airport, supplement the gap in the aircraft scheduling plan based on weather factors to predict flight delays.

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