Quantifying the impact of farmer mac prepayment penalties

Unlike most residential mortgage‐backed securities, Farmer Mac agricultural mortgage‐backed securities (AMBS) have prepayment penalties. To quantify the impact of prepayment penalties on the cost of funding loans, prepayment behavior, and AMBS value, an analytic AMBS model is developed and numerically solved using pathwise simulation and dynamic programming. The results suggest prepayment penalties currently being used by Farmer Mac reduce AMBS yields considerably relative to not charging prepayment penalties. Presumably, lower yielding AMBS imply more competitive loan pricing. Even with prepayment penalties in place, however, it can be advantageous for profit‐maximizing mortgagors to optimally prepay or even default on agricultural mortgages. The model is used to quantify prepayment and credit risk by valuing the embedded options in mortgages, namely, the right of the mortgagor to prepay and to default.