Chapter 3: Heterogeneous Switching in FAVAR Models
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Published:2022
Pierre Guérin, Danilo Leiva-León, 2022. "Heterogeneous Switching in FAVAR Models", Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, Juan J. Dolado, Luca Gambetti, Christian Matthes
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Abstract
The authors introduce a new approach to estimate high-dimensional factor-augmented vector autoregressive models (FAVAR) where the loadings are subject to idiosyncratic regime-switching dynamics. Our Bayesian estimation method alleviates computational challenges and makes the estimation of high-dimensional FAVAR with heterogeneous regime-switching straightforward to implement. The authors perform extensive simulation experiments to study the finite sample performance of our estimation method, demonstrating its relevance in high-dimensional settings. Next, the authors illustrate the performance of the proposed framework for studying the impact of credit market disruptions on a large set of macroeconomic variables. The results of this study underline the importance of accounting for non-linearities in factor loadings when evaluating the propagation of aggregate shocks.
