The first thing most people learn in statistics is that correlation is not causation, and that inferring causation from statistical results requires that there is a theoretical model (a good reason to think there is a causal effect), not just a statistical one. Usually, this implies a theory with some “mechanisms” that may also be subject to investigation. Except in some quite limited senses of the term, almost no one thinks that any MR results justify a causal claim (Goldthorpe, 2001).

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