3: Foundations of Possibility and Statistics
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Published:2026
Ivory A. Toldson, 2026. "Foundations of Possibility and Statistics", Possibility and Statistics: How to Use Data to Illuminate Pathways to Success, Ivory A. Toldson
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Imagine Dr. Elena Ramirez, a dedicated early-career researcher, poring over spreadsheets late into the night. Her grant-funded project requires her to analyze, yet again, the persistent “gaps” in math achievement for Latino students in her city. The numbers swim before her eyes: lower average scores, higher probabilities of needing remediation, familiar deficit narratives echoing from her literature review. Each statistical test she runs seems to add another stone to an already heavy burden—the burden of documenting failure, of confirming what feels like an unchangeable, dispiriting reality. Her work, initially fueled by a desire to make a difference, has become a laborious task, a meticulous cataloging of disparities that offers little solace and even less direction for tangible change. The joy she once found in inquiry feels distant, crushed under the weight of these BS.
