We successfully replicate the main results of Ang et al. (2006):Aggregate-volatility risk and idiosyncratic volatility (IV) are each priced in the cross-section of stock returns from 1963 to 2000. We also examine the pricing of volatility outside the original time period and under more recent asset-pricing models. With the exception of NASDAQ stocks, aggregate-volatility risk continues to be priced in the years following the Ang et al. (2006) sample period, and none of the more recent asset-pricing models we consider consistently accounts for the pricing of aggregate-volatility risk. The difference in abnormal returns between stocks with high and low IV decreases but remains significant out of sample. More recent asset-pricing models do not resolve the IV anomaly for the Ang et al. (2006) sample, but the four-factor model of Stambaugh and Yuan (2017) and thesix-factor model of Barillas and Shanken (2018) resolve the anomaly out of sample and over the extended period of 1967 to 2016. Finally, both models eliminate the arbitrage asymmetry that Stambaugh et al. (2015) propose as an explanation of the IV anomaly.
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8 August 2023
Research Article|
August 08 2023
The Cross-Section of Volatility and Expected Returns: Then and Now Available to Purchase
Andrew Detzel;
Andrew Detzel
Hankamer School of Business,
Baylor University
, USA
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Jefferson Duarte;
Jefferson Duarte
Jones Graduate School of Business,
Rice University
, USA
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Avraham Kamara;
Avraham Kamara
Foster School of Business,
University of Washington
, USA
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Stephan Siegel;
Stephan Siegel
Foster School of Business,
University of Washington
, USA
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Celine Sun
Celine Sun
Meta Platforms
, Inc., USA
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*
We thank an anonymous referee, Juhani Linnainmaa, and Jeff Pontiff for helpful comments and suggestions. We thank AQR Capital Management LLC, Kenneth French,ˇLuboš Pástor, Chen Xue, and Robert Stambaugh for kindly providing data.
Online ISSN: 2164-5760
Print ISSN: 2164-5744
© 2023 Andrew Detzel, Jefferson Duarte, Avraham Kamara, Stephan Siegel and Celine Sun
2023
Andrew Detzel, Jefferson Duarte, Avraham Kamara, Stephan Siegel and Celine Sun
Licensed re-use rights only
Critical Finance Review (2023) 12 (1-4): 9–56.
Citation
Detzel A, Duarte J, Kamara A, Siegel S, Sun C (2023), "The Cross-Section of Volatility and Expected Returns: Then and Now". Critical Finance Review, Vol. 12 No. 1-4 pp. 9–56, doi: https://doi.org/10.1561/104.00000125
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