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Keywords: Uncertainty management
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Journal Articles
Journal:
Disaster Prevention and Management
Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal (2012) 21 (3): 320–335.
Published: 22 June 2012
... Disaster management Uncertainty management Systems thinking Black swan Grey swan Red teaming Scenario planning Accidents Black swans represent the unpredictable. They represent “[…] our misunderstanding of the likelihood of surprises” (Taleb, 2007, p. 2). A black swan is described by Taleb...
