Unbonded concrete overlays (UBOLs) are commonly used in pavement rehabilitation. The current models included in the Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide cannot properly predict the structural response of UBOLs. In this paper, a multigene genetic programming (MGGP) approach is proposed to derive new prediction models for the UBOLs response to temperature loading.
MGGP is a promising variant of evolutionary computation capable of developing highly nonlinear explicit models for characterizing complex engineering problems. The proposed UBOL response models are formulated in terms of several influencing parameters including joint spacing, radius of relative stiffness, temperature gradient and adjusted load/pavement weight ratio. Furthermore, linear regression models are developed to benchmark the MGGP models.
The derived design equations accurately characterize the UBOLs response under temperature loading and remarkably outperform the regression models. The conducted parametric analysis implies the efficiency of the MGGP-based model in capturing the underlying physical behavior of the UBOLs response to temperature loading. Based on the results, the proposed models can be reliably deployed for design purposes.
A challenge in the design of UBOLs is that their interlayer effects have not been directly considered in previous design procedures. To achieve better performance predictions, it is necessary to capture the effect of the interlayer in the design process. This study addresses this important issue via developing new models that can efficiently account for the effects of interlayer on the stress and deflections. In addition, it provides an insight into the effect of several parameters influencing the deflections of the UBOLs. From a computing perspective, a powerful evolutionary computation technique is introduced that overcomes the shortcomings of existing machine learning methods.
