The textiles and clothing sector employs millions of people in the European Union (EU) and has a combined annual turnover of more than €200 billion. Over the last decade or so, more than a million jobs have been lost in the industry, partly through modernisation, but mainly as a result of international competition, especially from developing countries. This competition is set to intensify with the abolition of import quotas in 2005, leaving the EU industry facing an uncertain future. This article explores five key drivers that are likely to affect the sector profoundly over the coming decade. For each driver, three “outlooks” have been articulated: an extrapolation of current trends and drivers (“Alpha” outlook), a situation where many things “go wrong” (“Beta” outlook), and a situation involving more visionary outcomes (“Delta” outlook). The aim is not to forecast the future, but rather to explore plausible outcomes for the industry over the coming decade. On this basis, a number of policy areas have been identified where the European Commission (EC) and Member States will need to address future threats and opportunities.
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1 October 2004
Research Article|
October 01 2004
A dying industry – or not? The future of the European textiles and clothing industry Available to Purchase
Michael Keenan;
Michael Keenan
Research Fellow, based at PREST, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK (E‐mail: michael.keenan@man.ac.uk)
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Ozcan Saritas;
Ozcan Saritas
Research Associate, based at PREST, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK (E‐mail: ozcan.saritas@man.ac.uk)
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Inga Kroener
Inga Kroener
Research Associates, based at PREST, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK (E‐mail: ingakroener@lycos.com)
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Publisher: Emerald Publishing
Online ISSN: 1465-9832
Print ISSN: 1463-6689
© Emerald Group Publishing Limited
2004
Foresight (2004) 6 (5): 313–322.
Citation
Keenan M, Saritas O, Kroener I (2004), "A dying industry – or not? The future of the European textiles and clothing industry". Foresight, Vol. 6 No. 5 pp. 313–322, doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680410563016
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