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Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to assess the future development of the transport sector in Europe.

Design/methodology/approach

Drawing on published sources of information and some expert views, the paper considers trends, drivers of change, possible scenarios and policy issues.

Findings

Transport demand for passengers and goods has grown consistently in the past and is expected to continue to do so in the future. Existing policies are unlikely to modify this trend or alleviate existing problems.

Research limitations/implicaions

The paper is based on existing sources.

Practical implications

Decisions in a wide range of policy fields have implications for transport, which are seldom considered.

Originality/value

Questions the sustainability of continuing growth in transport demand and the adequacy of current policy.

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