This paper explores the possible future business environment, industrial structure, technological transformation, and market for the semiconductor industry in Taiwan.
This study applies the Delphi method to predict future trends in Taiwan's semiconductor industry in 2015.
The significant findings are as follows: the future business environment will focus on “industrial internationalization” and “strategic alliance”, and roughly half of Taiwan's production will move to China by 2015; the disintegrated model in Taiwan's semiconductor industry will still remain by 2015 and will require some adjustments, whereas the foundry service in Taiwan will retain its dominance globally; future core technologies in 2015 will comprise low voltage manufacturing (CMOS), High K, nanotechnology processes, and copper interconnection processes; the estimated value of IC industrial production for 2005 was US$32.1 billion, and will be US$61.0 billion in 2010 and US$108.8 billion in 2015.
This research can be utilized as a reference for government, academics, industry, and international investors.
