.... Design/methodology/approach Two methodologies were used: scenario analysis and the two-round Delphi method, to identify key variables, create future scenarios and prioritize technology and innovation issues for the citrus chain by 2035. Findings Scenario analysis assessed 36 variables using MICMAC...

.../methodology/approach A technology tree of 179 KETs was constructed and organized into 5 groups. The study applied an expert consultation method, specifically the two-round Delphi method, to analyze advanced materials, energy, advanced information and communication technologies (ICT), clean tech and life...

.../approach Two prospective methods were implemented, the scenario method and the two-round Delphi method, to prioritize the key variables, technologies, actors, innovations, objectives and scenarios for the SCC up to 2035. Findings Based on the analysis of 81 variables, 7 key variables were identified...

.... Practical implications This paper includes implications for the development of prospective studies combining two or more different methodologies such as foresight-by-scenarios and Delphi method at the same time and further comparing the results with artificial intelligence analysis. Social implications...

... of properties of technology and public R&D role in the context of Fourth Industrial Revolution. Design/methodology/approach Two rounds of Delphi surveys were designed to meet the purpose of this study, which used rigorous triangulation techniques. The Delphi method was combined with the brainstorming...

...Jhon Wilder Zartha Sossa; William Halal; Raul Hernandez Zarta Purpose The purpose of this study is to review the literature on the Delphi method, its characteristics and current applications through an analysis of recent most-cited scientific papers, with an emphasis on three axes, namely...

.... The real-time Delphi technique, first introduced by Gordon and Pease (2006) , is an advanced concept based on the conventional Delphi method, which is already covered by an extensive body of literature. In areas where strategic decisions in organizations are based on expertise from different areas...

... five years since 1971 (National Institute of Science and Technology Policy, 2010). These studies define priority areas and areas of research and development. Information society Delphi method Critical technology Emerging technology Key enabling technology STI priority The experience...

... establishes the current validity and effectiveness of the classical Delphi method of foresight and streamlines their efficient implementation for theory building despite its numerous weaknesses. Originality/value It explores desirable futures for the method while analysing what is possible and probable...

... investment recommendations and implementation of policies that promise significant benefit to the public at large. © Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2014 Modelling Convergence Risk management Delphi method Nanotechnology Contemporary decision-making is a strategic and very...

... method, scenario and workshop were conducted independently in consideration of four global or national challenges. The points of the studies are interdisciplinary or diversified discussion and a mission‐oriented approach. Information from the Delphi method and scenario is converged using text mining...

...‐range strategy planning. Delphi method Environmental politics Government policy Scenario planning Sustainable development Strategic planning Forecasting Here, as mentioned earlier, the desired future state is accomplishing the two‐degree target without significant loss in welfare...

... the effects of regulation on the industry during the period 1985‐2009. They also aim to consider its potential effects in the years 2010‐2015. Design/methodology/approach The method selected for this research was the Delphi method. The challenge was that this method was originally created...

...: The Delphi method iterates one or two rounds of the same questionnaire to the same panel of expert respondents, until the answers converge to some specific way of thinking. In the second and subsequent questionnaire, the respondents are allowed to modify their answers based on the summarized information (i.e...

... (Figure 5). The following sections describe each phase briefly. Jack E. Smith can be contacted at: jesmith@telfer.uottawa.ca © Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2011 Forward planning Delphi method Perceptual mapping This paper aims to fill a perceived gap in the tool bag...

... Mäkitalo can be contacted at: miika.makitalo@fta.fi © Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2010 Railways Competitive strategy Finland Delphi method The railway sector is in a state of transition in Europe, as it is not long since railways were monopolies operated by government‐owned...

... 2010 Delphi method Technology led strategy Taiwan However, there is only one national level Delphi‐based foresight activity initialized by the Taiwan government, i.e. “2025 Taiwan Agricultural Technology Foresight” which was planned by STPI (Science and Technology Policy Research...

...Roberto Biloslavo; Slavko Dolinšek Purpose The purpose of the paper is to present the common use of the Delphi method, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and dynamic fuzzy cognitive maps for the development of a future scenario in correlation with climate warming. Design...

... ranges. Many such forecasting methods exist, including time series analysis, causal models, statistical analysis, pattern recognition, and game theory (Armstrong, 2001). Health and medicine Delphi method Forecasting Preparing for the future is a necessity for every health policy‐maker...

..., and this applies especially to the use of preferred foresight tools. For example, early adopters of foresight, particularly in national technology foresight exercises, show a strong preference for the Delphi method [27] , and this could explain the method's popularity over the past decade in regions such as South...