.... Design/methodology/approach Two methodologies were used: scenario analysis and the two-round Delphi method, to identify key variables, create future scenarios and prioritize technology and innovation issues for the citrus chain by 2035. Findings Scenario analysis assessed 36 variables using MICMAC...

.../methodology/approach A technology tree of 179 KETs was constructed and organized into 5 groups. The study applied an expert consultation method, specifically the two-round Delphi method, to analyze advanced materials, energy, advanced information and communication technologies (ICT), clean tech and life...

.../approach Two prospective methods were implemented, the scenario method and the two-round Delphi method, to prioritize the key variables, technologies, actors, innovations, objectives and scenarios for the SCC up to 2035. Findings Based on the analysis of 81 variables, 7 key variables were identified...

.... Practical implications This paper includes implications for the development of prospective studies combining two or more different methodologies such as foresight-by-scenarios and Delphi method at the same time and further comparing the results with artificial intelligence analysis. Social implications...

... of properties of technology and public R&D role in the context of Fourth Industrial Revolution. Design/methodology/approach Two rounds of Delphi surveys were designed to meet the purpose of this study, which used rigorous triangulation techniques. The Delphi method was combined with the brainstorming...

...Jhon Wilder Zartha Sossa; William Halal; Raul Hernandez Zarta Purpose The purpose of this study is to review the literature on the Delphi method, its characteristics and current applications through an analysis of recent most-cited scientific papers, with an emphasis on three axes, namely...

...) , is an advanced concept based on the conventional Delphi method, which is already covered by an extensive body of literature. In areas where strategic decisions in organizations are based on expertise from different areas and/or where conflicting goals and values need to be taken into account, the Delphi method...

..., 2013). Oleg V. Ena can be contacted at: oleg.ena@gmail.com 07 06 2016 12 01 2017 16 01 2017 © Emerald Publishing Limited 2017 Emerald Publishing Limited Licensed re-use rights only Information society Delphi method Critical technology Emerging technology Key...

... establishes the current validity and effectiveness of the classical Delphi method of foresight and streamlines their efficient implementation for theory building despite its numerous weaknesses. Originality/value It explores desirable futures for the method while analysing what is possible and probable...

... Limited 2014 Modelling Convergence Risk management Delphi method Nanotechnology Contemporary decision-making is a strategic and very complex process that involves socio-economic, geopolitical, techno-economic, forward-thinking and paradigm-shifting considerations to support policy...

... method, scenario and workshop were conducted independently in consideration of four global or national challenges. The points of the studies are interdisciplinary or diversified discussion and a mission‐oriented approach. Information from the Delphi method and scenario is converged using text mining...

... social change (Robinson et al. 2011 , p. 757). In this scenario task the participatory process was carried out as futures workshops (see chapters 2.2 and 2.4). © Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2012 Delphi method Environmental politics Government policy Scenario planning...

... the effects of regulation on the industry during the period 1985‐2009. They also aim to consider its potential effects in the years 2010‐2015. Design/methodology/approach The method selected for this research was the Delphi method. The challenge was that this method was originally created...

... method Japan Forecasting In Japan, the National Institute for Science, Technology and Environmental Policy (NISTEP) has been supporting and managing foresight for S&T using “Delphi“ methods since 1971. This Delphi survey reliance has anticipated, and in many instances predicted, the need...

... impact analysis, multi‐criteria analysis, strengths, weaknesses, opposition, threats (SWOT) and/or cost/benefit/risk analysis can be considered among the methods to support this process. Forward planning Delphi method Perceptual mapping This paper aims to fill a perceived gap in the tool...

... Publishing Limited 2010 Railways Competitive strategy Finland Delphi method The railway sector is in a state of transition in Europe, as it is not long since railways were monopolies operated by government‐owned railway companies. In recent decade railway transportation markets have been...

... that the involvement of as many stakeholders as possible in a Sci‐Tech forecasting process is desirable in order to have more democratic planning (Genus, 2006). Delphi method Technology led strategy Taiwan The Taiwan government has not announced a time schedule for holistic technology foresight activity...

...Roberto Biloslavo; Slavko Dolinšek Purpose The purpose of the paper is to present the common use of the Delphi method, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and dynamic fuzzy cognitive maps for the development of a future scenario in correlation with climate warming. Design...

... and global health, and potential refinement of foresight techniques for health applications. Health and medicine Delphi method Forecasting Preparing for the future is a necessity for every health policy‐maker, practitioner, and scientist, whether developing policy, treating patients...

... Delphi method Democracy Governance International organizations Over the last decade or so, a number of reports and journal articles have been written that describe and compare foresight exercises conducted in different countries (see, for example, Organisation for Economic Co‐operation...