..., William Brown, Leon Martel and other Institute staff. It was timed to coincide with the American bicentennial of 1976, which explains why the book chose to provide a long-range forecast 200 years into the future. As shown in Figure 1 below, the Hudson Institute attempted to clarify the scope...

..., scenario development and forecasting. It suggests the need for a new research programme to understand the dynamics of the planetary phase shift and its diverse implications for societies, industry, technology and politics. The research is limited in that the current paper does not explore how it can...

...Peter Kačmáry; Peter Bindzár; Jakub Kovalčík; Marek Ondov Purpose The purpose of this paper is to apply and verify Fourier series analysis in combination with non-linear regression as a tool of forecasting and planning of inputs in the logistics process of a retail chain store. Design...

...Vinod Bhatia; K. Kalaivani Purpose Indian railways (IR) is one of the largest railway networks in the world. As a part of its strategic development initiative, demand forecasting can be one of the indispensable activities, as it may provide basic inputs for planning and control of various...

...Tadhg O’Mahony; Jyrki Luukkanen; Jarmo Vehmas; Jari Roy Lee Kaivo-oja Purpose The literature on economic forecasting, is showing an increase in criticism, of the inaccuracy of forecasts, with major implications for economic, and fiscal policymaking. Forecasts are subject to the systemic...

... in strategic planning, forecasting and foresight needed to manage today’s wave of strategic change. Almost all respondents were fully aware of current strategic practices and had similar views on needed change. This rough consensus added confidence to the results. As shown, the cycle begins when leaders...

... its name because it goes back and forth between forecasting and backcasting, provides for give and take among different groups of stakeholders and creates and compares multiple scenarios depicting plausible futures. Design/methodology/approach After defining Bouncecasting, presenting its main...

...Muhammad AsadUllah; Muhammad Adnan Bashir; Abdur Rahman Aleemi Purpose The purpose of this study is to examine the accuracy of combined models with the individual models in terms of forecasting Euro against US dollar during COVID-19 era. During COVID, the euro shows sharp fluctuation in upward...

... implementation should be carried out/ensured. 30 04 2020 16 10 2020 04 12 2020 19 12 2020 © Emerald Publishing Limited 2020 Emerald Publishing Limited Licensed re-use rights only Innovation Culture Sustainable development Environmental politics Forecasting...

... Sustainable development Economic forecasting Modelling Scenario planning Forecasting Bioeconomy Sustainability East-Africa The region of East Africa is one of the fastest-growing regions in the world with a gross domestic product (GDP) average growth rate of 6.7% between 2013 and 2017, more...

... Welz can be contacted at: juliane.welz@imw.fraunhofer.de 21 07 2020 15 10 2020 23 10 2020 © Emerald Publishing Limited 2020 Emerald Publishing Limited Licensed re-use rights only Forecasting Content analysis Future trends Horizon scanning Podcasting...

... are not straightforward. How we approach the future and our relationship with it has underlying ontological and epistemological assumptions (Poli, 2010, 2017). Forecasting ( Makridakis et al., 2008 ), foresight ( Bishop and Hines, 2012 ; Hines and Bishop, 2013 ; Popper, 2008 ), futures studies (Bell, 2009; Gidley, 2017...

... in general (Collins, 1975). However, unlike the fundamentally deterministic nature of laws governing physical and even biological systems, the “laws” of psychological and social systems are better seen as probabilistic: they forecast likely – but not certain – actions and behaviors (Piirainen and Gonzalez...

... 2019 06 06 2020 25 06 2020 © Emerald Publishing Limited 2020 Emerald Publishing Limited Licensed re-use rights only Futures Forecasting Sustainable development Forward planning Regenerative The consequences of unsustainable human behaviours have resulted...

... the possible course of domestic inflation relative to inflation abroad becomes an important input in policy-making. In this context, the author compares simple forecast heuristics and econometric modeling. Design/methodology/approach The study compares two basically different approaches. The first approach...

... that can conform closely to the target areas of interest for continuous, long-term monitoring of the human body, while improving user experience. Findings The authors have highlighted current attempts of mechanically adaptive devices for health care, and the authors forecast key aspects for the future...

... by bringing together short-term forecasts and long-term exploratory and visionary scenarios. Each time horizon allows for re-considering and dynamically changing drivers and assumptions of scenarios and thus builds not a single linear, but multiple and dynamic pathways into the future. Following...

... between sectoral and national components of TFS and on application of the results of foresight studies (implemented within the framework of TFS) for the strategic planning. Originality/value Russia has a long history of technological planning and forecasting and engages regularly in extensive...

.... Second, the length of the time horizon can vary between a short-term view, a medium-term approach or a long-term spectre. Some anticipatory practices, such as short-term forecasts, consider a horizon of a month to a year, whereas long-term oriented practices focus on a time horizon longer than 15 or 20...

... (Crisp et al., 1997 ; Yousuf, 2007). Hanafin (2004) restates that the classical Delphi, as the conventional Delphi, prioritises facts and forecasts future events, using a set of open-ended questionnaires sent out to a group of experts, with a second questionnaire grounded in the results...