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1-20 of 24
Keywords: Scenarios
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Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2026) 28 (3): 412–428.
Published: 01 June 2026
.... Design/methodology/approach This paper explores the case of Qatar guided by strategic foresight methodology. Findings Based on multiple and carefully designed and facilitated focus groups with a wide range of participants, it develops three different future scenarios of social and cultural life...
Journal Articles
Jhon Wilder Zartha Sossa, Nolberto Gutiérrez Posada, Jhoan Sebastián Rodríguez Torres, Juan Carlos Palacio Piedrahita, Juan Carlos Zapata Valencia, Nelson Javier Escobar Mora, Andrés Felipe Ríos Mesa, Luis Fernando Gutiérrez Cano, Raul Hernandez Zarta
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2026) 28 (2): 276–297.
Published: 03 April 2026
.... Design/methodology/approach Two methodologies were used: scenario analysis and the two-round Delphi method, to identify key variables, create future scenarios and prioritize technology and innovation issues for the citrus chain by 2035. Findings Scenario analysis assessed 36 variables using MICMAC...
Journal Articles
Jhon Wilder Zartha Sossa, Nolberto Gutiérrez Posada, Adriana María Zuluaga Monsalve, Liliana Valencia Grisales, Elisa Hernández Becerra, Gina Lía Orozco Mendoza, Juan Carlos Palacio Piedrahita, Carlos Alberto Guarnizo Gómez, John Fredy Moreno Sarta
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2025) 27 (1): 147–168.
Published: 08 October 2024
... scenarios and convergent technologies regarding the plantain chain in the region of Quindío, Colombia. It proposes the definition of key variables, convergent technologies, future objectives, future scenarios and hypotheses based on stakeholders’ and experts’ opinions collected through questionnaires...
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2024) 26 (1): 18–34.
Published: 05 June 2023
... separate, non-overlapping branches, short-term economic forecasting, and long-term scenario analysis of development, the latter found in studies of climate change and sustainability. The unique case of Ireland is considered, a country that has experienced both steep growth and deep troughs...
Journal Articles
Reza Hafezi, Hossein Heirani, Mohammadreza Akbari, Ahmad Mortezaee, Naser Bagherimoghaddam, Hamid Heydari, Amirhossein Souhankar
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2023) 25 (5): 649–665.
Published: 03 March 2023
... characteristics and can steer energy policies. Therefore, this study aims to adopt an appropriate approach for the country’s energy sector according to the conditions and needs of the country. Design/methodology/approach A participatory scenario technique is designed and used to develop plausible projections...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2024) 26 (4): 685–700.
Published: 14 July 2022
... gay and bisexual men in exploring future scenarios for the wider LGBTQI+ community in Kenya. Design/methodology/approach This study used participatory action research to pilot the study. Workshop sessions focused on exploratory futures using an integral futures framework. Futures tools used...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2023) 25 (4): 477–501.
Published: 06 June 2022
... To accomplish this, trends emerged after the COVID-19 pandemic are studied and some uncertainties are identified. At the intersections of uncertainties, scenarios are shaped based on the Global Business Network (GBN) methodology. GBN helps to draw macrolevel images about plausible futures. The main...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2024) 26 (4): 671–684.
Published: 11 May 2022
... an indigenist research approach, this paper explores the evolution of Soomaalinimo over time in a way that is culturally informed and decolonial. Young Somali-Canadians in two cities (Toronto and Edmonton) were given an opportunity to define Soomaalinimo for themselves and create scenarios of how it might...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2021) 23 (6): 613–627.
Published: 06 August 2021
... its name because it goes back and forth between forecasting and backcasting, provides for give and take among different groups of stakeholders and creates and compares multiple scenarios depicting plausible futures. Design/methodology/approach After defining Bouncecasting, presenting its main...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2021) 23 (3): 327–352.
Published: 15 December 2020
... environmental scanning and patent analysis aimed at developing five plausible scenarios for microturbine development future in Iran and creating shared visions among policymakers. Findings This paper proposed a series of scenarios on the path to developing microturbine technology. The scenario development...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2021) 23 (1): 17–32.
Published: 22 September 2020
...Yuichi Washida; Akihisa Yahata Purpose The purpose of this study is to measure the predictive value of future scenarios prepared using horizon scanning. The future scenarios prepared at the initiative of the Japanese Government have had low predictive value. They have frequently failed...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2020) 22 (5-6): 671–687.
Published: 26 August 2020
... present challenges and an uncertain future. Scenarios are developed for the broader academy using an environmental understanding to better inform predictive actions envisioned in academic institutional future planning. Findings The outcome of this research, including four scenarios, will be used...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2020) 22 (3): 273–286.
Published: 15 May 2020
... combining the analysis of key players with the exploration of scenarios. While usually, a foresight exercise considers only one of these two futures studies approaches. Findings The “Dynamic Islands System” scenario reflects the present situation and current trends. It shows that all expected components...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2020) 22 (1): 68–94.
Published: 29 November 2019
... of scenarios and models through a 12-step process to assist strategy formulation and implementation for managerial/social activity in Brazil’s HEIs. Simple set theory was used as a backbone to assist scenario building. Two models were created. First, focused on an autopoietic model relating to Brazil’s HEIs...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2016) 18 (4): 434–440.
Published: 08 August 2016
... and deans from Malaysian universities. Design/methodology/approach Senior lecturers and professors deliberated for the first three days on the futures of higher education in Malaysia. They presented their scenarios and recommendations to the deans. The deans used these findings to articulate their own...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2016) 18 (3): 253–275.
Published: 13 June 2016
... the evolution of the R&I landscape and identifies the most influential stakeholders engaged in R&I. In the light of the scenarios developed for the year 2030, a set of strategic options are identified and assessed for each stakeholder group. Findings R&I systems are now more complex than 50...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2016) 18 (1): 76–90.
Published: 14 March 2016
... futures thinking by visually displaying weak signals. Baerten (2007) argues that scenarios often remain more abstract and that visualizations can make futures actually experiencable. However, if we take a broader perspective and consider the relevance of cultural products, such as visual images...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2015) 17 (6): 545–555.
Published: 09 November 2015
...Anne Marchais-Roubelat; Fabrice Roubelat Purpose – This paper aims to introduce movements in scenario methodology, to design a moving strategic foresight approach. Design/methodology/approach – The authors firstly question the limits of plausibility from an ontological and epistemological...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2015) 17 (3): 233–239.
Published: 08 June 2015
...Ozcan Saritas Purpose – This paper aims to report the author’s observations and opinions during the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) 2014. Discussions presented focus on recent technological developments and their impacts on society with three plausible future scenarios...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Foresight
Foresight (2014) 16 (5): 389–409.
Published: 02 September 2014
...Sohail Inayatullah; Ismahane A. Elouafi Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to present findings, based on a report for the International Centre for Biosaline Agriculture (ICBA), of the preferred visions, scenarios and strategies of stakeholders articulated at a workshop held in Dubai from...
