Is labour force participation independent of unemployment? A panel analysis for high-income countries

We test the pertinence of the unemployment invariance hypothesis (UIH) for a set of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries.

We empirically investigate the nexus between unemployment and labour force participation employing structural vector autoregressive methods for panel data.

We find that shocks in unemployment produce long-lasting, negative effects on participation, testifying to a discouraged worker effect.

Our results do not support the validity of the UIH in high-income economies. This has relevant implications for policy making and macroeconomic models.