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Keywords: ARDL
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Journal Articles
Energy consumption and CO2 emission under economic uncertainty: evidence from Asia-Pacific countries
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International Journal of Social Economics 1–15.
Published: 22 April 2026
...: The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose. 29 10 2025 16 02 2026 10 03 2026 © Emerald Publishing Limited 2026 Emerald Publishing Limited Licensed re-use rights only Economic uncertainty Energy consumption Carbon dioxide emissions ARDL...
Journal Articles
Unraveling the role of green innovation, renewable resources, and urban concentration on green and sustainable growth in India
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International Journal of Social Economics (2026) 53 (3): 388–401.
Published: 10 June 2025
... to unit root analysis, such as ADF and DF-GLS, and the ARDL bounds test approach to analyze the long-run and short-run relationship between the selected time-series variables for India from 1993 to 2021. Further, diagnostic inspection like the Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test and the Breusch–Godfrey Serial...
Journal Articles
The relationship between the cost of living and food security in developing countries. Evidence from Ghana
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International Journal of Social Economics (2025) 52 (5): 747–760.
Published: 15 August 2024
... The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) to cointegration bound test was employed for the econometrics analysis. Time series secondary quarterly data from 2012Q1 to 2018Q4 were examined. Food security data based on the Global Food Security Index score were employed. Findings The result revealed...
Journal Articles
New insights into the impact of global security on economic growth: The case of Tunisia
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International Journal of Social Economics (2024) 51 (1): 18–30.
Published: 04 July 2023
.../methodology/approach The authors examine the multidimensionality of global security using ARDL-based cointegration bound tests. The model allows also for examining the long-run/short-run impacts of global security indicators on economic growth. Findings The proposed methodology revealed interesting...
Journal Articles
Does the crime rate respond symmetrically or asymmetrically to changes in governance quality and macroeconomic variables? The application of linear and non-linear ARDL
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International Journal of Social Economics (2023) 50 (12): 1756–1776.
Published: 03 July 2023
... governance indicators using the principal component analysis (PCA) method. After that, the short-run and long-run symmetric and asymmetric effects were estimated through linear and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models, respectively. Findings The authors found short-run and long-run...
Journal Articles
Relationship between unemployment and policy uncertainty in Nigeria: ARDL evidence from 1990 to 2020
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International Journal of Social Economics (2023) 50 (6): 800–820.
Published: 16 February 2023
... confirm for both short and long-run. However, the impact of EPU on government investment in infrastructure development is found to be positive which does not confirm the expected hypothesis. ARDL Economic methodology Time series model Unemployment Uncertainty Nigeria E24 D81 C22 B41...
Journal Articles
Efficacy of public spending for agricultural development in India: a disaggregate analysis contextualizing subsidies vs investment debate
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International Journal of Social Economics (2023) 50 (7): 925–940.
Published: 08 February 2023
..., the highly celebrated autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model is applied on annual time series data for the period 1991–2020 to investigate the long-run and short-run impact of the said relationship. Findings The authors observe that public investment is more productive than input subsidies...
Journal Articles
How responsive is the poverty to the foreign direct investment inflows in Nigeria? Evidence from linear and non-linear ARDL
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International Journal of Social Economics (2023) 50 (1): 73–96.
Published: 22 August 2022
..., Phillips Perron and Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin unit root tests and bounds test were used to tests the series stationarity and co-integration, respectively. Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) and non-linear and linear autoregressive Distributive Lag (NARDL) estimators are employed to examine...
Journal Articles
Public expenditure on education, educational attainment and unemployment nexus in India: an empirical investigation
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International Journal of Social Economics (2020) 47 (5): 663–674.
Published: 11 May 2020
... autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) bound testing approach suggested by Pesaran et al. (2001) to find the long-run relationship among the variables. The causal linkages are investigated through block exogeneity test based on vector error correction model. Findings The empirical results indicate...
Journal Articles
Testing Malthusian's and Kremer's population theories in developing economy
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International Journal of Social Economics (2020) 47 (4): 523–538.
Published: 31 March 2020
... growth does not affect per capita income Mamingi and Perch (2013) 1980–2016 Barbados ARDL Real GDP per capita Population growth, govt. spending, FDI, trade and domestic investment Population growth effect is positive and significant Shety and Sahoo (2015) 1970–2010 India Co-integration...
Journal Articles
Financial inclusion matters for economic growth in India: Some evidence from cointegration analysis
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International Journal of Social Economics (2019) 46 (1): 132–151.
Published: 13 August 2018
... Index method. The long-run relationship between FI and economic growth is examined by using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration and nonlinear ARDL approach. Further, the direction of causality is investigated by employing the Toda–Yamamoto Granger causality test...
Journal Articles
Does poverty lead to crime? Evidence from the United States of America
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International Journal of Social Economics (2018) 45 (10): 1424–1438.
Published: 07 August 2018
... Publishing Limited Licensed re-use rights only USA Poverty ARDL Property crime To describe the behavior of criminals, Becker (1968) developed an economic model. He points out that crime is one type of economic activity since offenders consider cost and benefit before committing crime...
Journal Articles
Are some taxes better for growth in Pakistan? A time series analysis
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International Journal of Social Economics (2018) 45 (10): 1439–1452.
Published: 07 August 2018
... are explanatory variables under ARDL framework from 1976 to 2014 at annual frequency for Pakistan. Findings Direct taxes have positive relation with economic growth in the long run. Sales tax, tax on international trade (tariffs) and other indirect taxes have positive impact on economic growth of Pakistan...
Journal Articles
Does female human capital contribute to economic growth in India?: an empirical investigation
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International Journal of Social Economics (2017) 44 (11): 1506–1521.
Published: 06 November 2017
.... The study also used ARDL-bounds testing approach and the unrestricted error-correction model to investigate co-integration in the long run and short run; Granger’s causality test to investigate the direction of the causality; and variance decomposition test to capture the influence of each variable...
Journal Articles
Foreign direct investments, democracy, and economic growth in Turkey
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International Journal of Social Economics (2017) 44 (2): 232–252.
Published: 13 February 2017
... of democracy in different possible models of FDI flows. The intuition the paper empirically provides with an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model is how improvements in democracy have a significant positive impact on FDI flows to Turkey. The results may also put forward that, in the long run, FDI...
Journal Articles
Good governance and crime rates in Malaysia
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International Journal of Social Economics (2016) 43 (3): 308–320.
Published: 07 March 2016
... for this long-run relationship, we employ the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model suggested by Pesaran et al. (2001) . The long-run relationship can be inferred by the additional application of the method suggested by Ericsson and MacKinnon (2002) , Narayan (2005) and Turner (2006...
Journal Articles
Insurance market development and economic growth: Exploring causality in 8 selected African countries
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International Journal of Social Economics (2016) 43 (3): 321–339.
Published: 07 March 2016
... relationship from the perspective of insurance markets in a cross-section of African countries. Causality Africa ARDL Economic growth Insurance penetration Empirical studies on the causality between insurance and economic growth have mainly focused on developed economies (Ward and Zurbruegg...
Journal Articles
The relationship between financial development indicators and human development in India
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International Journal of Social Economics (2014) 41 (12): 1194–1208.
Published: 25 November 2014
... of integration of the variables. The long run relationship and short run dynamics are examined by implementing the ARDL bounds testing approach to co-integration. Granger’s non-causality test and variance decomposition techniques are also used to examine the impact of financial development indicators on human...
Journal Articles
Does financial development increase rural‐urban income inequality?: Cointegration analysis in the case of Indian economy
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International Journal of Social Economics (2013) 40 (2): 151–168.
Published: 18 January 2013
... to check for the order of integration of the variables. The long run relation is examined by implementing the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration. Findings The results confirm a relation among the variables. Evidence suggest that financial development, economic growth and consumer prices...
