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Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to emphasize the importance of anticipation rather than prediction in business strategy.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper takes the form of an opinion column.

Findings

This column attempts to demonstrate that supplementing standard strategy with a right‐brain, inductive examination of the basic working assumptions of the organization is the best way to anticipate catastrophe.

Originality/value

The paper presents an historic perspective on catastrophe and change that may be unavailable elsewhere.

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