...Jared Nystrom; Raymond R. Hill; Andrew Geyer; Joseph J. Pignatiello; Eric Chicken Purpose Present a method to impute missing data from a chaotic time series, in this case lightning prediction data, and then use that completed dataset to create lightning prediction forecasts. Design/methodology...

...Benjamin Leiby; Darryl Ahner Purpose This paper aims to examine how the regional variable in country conflict modeling affects forecast accuracy and identifies a methodology to further improve the predictions. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses statistical learning methods to both...

...Sarah Neumann; Darryl Ahner; Raymond R. Hill Purpose This paper aims to examine whether changing the clustering of countries within a United States Combatant Command (COCOM) area of responsibility promotes improved forecasting of conflict. Design/methodology/approach In this paper statistical...

... been produced by a US government employee and shall be considered a public domain work, as copyright protection is not available. Published in Journal of Defense Analytics and Logistics. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. Forecasting Applied statistics Student attrition...