In this paper, we examine the existence of the psychological barriers in three foreign exchange rate, won/dollar, euro/dollar, yen/dollar, and test that the psychological barriers effect to the implied volatilities of the FX options. For each exchange rate, the existence and spots of the psychological barriers are estimated from roughly 10 years data for each currency rate, and GARCH (1, 1) model was applied to observe the momentum effect about the mean and variance of the conditional returns, and the implied volatility of the FX-options for each currency rate near the psychological barriers. Since this effect is more clearly observed on the implied volatility data, this fact supports that psychological barriers affects to the price of the FX-options.
Research Article|
May 31 2014
Psychological Barrier in Foreign Exchange Rate and Implied Volatility in Currency Exchange Option
Daehwi Jung
Daehwi Jung
Inha University
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Publisher: Emerald Publishing on behalf of Korea Derivatives Association
Online ISSN: 2713-6647
Print ISSN: 1229-988X
© 2014 Emerald Publishing Limited
2014
This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode
Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies: Seonmul yeon’gu (2014) 22 (2): 309–329.
Citation
Shin D, Kim S, Kim H, Jung D (2014), "Psychological Barrier in Foreign Exchange Rate and Implied Volatility in Currency Exchange Option". Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies: Seonmul yeon’gu, Vol. 22 No. 2 pp. 309–329, doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/JDQS-02-2014-B0006
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