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The effects of a transatlantic trade agreement on the global forest sector were assessed with the Global Forest Products Model, conditional on previous macroeconomic impacts predicted with a general equilibrium model. Comprehensive tariff elimination per se had little effect on the forest sector. However, with deeper reforms and integration consumption would increase twice as much in percent in the US as in the EU. Net trade decreased in the US more than in the EU while it increased in Asia. Consumers and producers’ welfare increased by $7000 million in the EU and $14,000 million in the US, but decreased in some third countries, especially in Asia.
Keywords:
Forest sector,
International trade,
GFPM,
Wood products,
Demand,
Supply,
Prices,
C51,
C61,
F17,
L73,
O19,
A23,
Q41
© 2014 Department of Forest Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Umeå. Published by Elsevier GmbH
2014
Department of Forest Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Umeå. Published by Elsevier GmbH
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