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The aim of this study was to assess the influence of uncertainties related to soil variability in the numerical modelling of settlements caused by underground work. Based on a large number of in situ tests, a geostatistical method, kriging, applied to the stratigraphy of the sub-surface was justified and used in order to determine the mean position of the soil layers and their estimation variances. In a first stage, the influence of the uncertainty in the soil stratigraphy on the calculated surface settlements was analysed. In a second stage, a stochastic finite element method was used to introduce the influence of uncertainty in the soil mechanical parameters on the predicted surface settlements.

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