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Journal Articles

Identifying the “Downsian Ceiling”: When Does Polarization Make Appealing to One’s Base More Attractive than Moderating to the Center

Samuel Merrill, III, Bernard Grofman, Thomas Brunell
Journal: Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy
Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy (2022) 3 (3-4): 273–293.
https://doi.org/10.1561/113.00000060
Published: 01 December 2022
..., expected gains to be made from mobilizing turnout among one’s base increase while expected gains to be made from moving in a more moderate direction decrease. Applying a spatial model analysis of parties undergoing polarization under the threat of abstention, we find that Downsian convergence...
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