... high leverage intervention points (categorised as high impact) and those that constituted strategic uncertainties requiring scenario planning (categorised with high uncertainty). This process synthesised the key strategic uncertainties and critical leverage points and provided foundational variables...

... to the terms of the CC BY 4.0 licence . Tourism futures dynamics theory TFDT Scenario planning Dynamics Theory development Entropy reduction Tourism futures studies confront two challenges: they must prove relevant to practice while also satisfying academic standards of rigor. Without theory...

...Andrus H.L. Nomm; Julia Albrecht; Brent Lovelock Purpose This paper proposes and illustrates a sequential, qualitative framework that combines scenario planning and the futures wheel to enrich futures-oriented research in tourism. The aim is to generate plausible long-term perspectives on tourism...

... a consolidated overview of WHM research and introduces a scenario planning framework with four policy pathways, informing evidence-based policy development for WHM schemes. Social implications The research contributes to understanding how contemporary mobility patterns challenge traditional assumptions about...

... provides insights about the application of scenario planning for a mega event such as Notting Hill Carnival, how the process of scenario planning was experienced by the participants and the effect the study had on the Carnival, and how it was perceived in subsequent years. Originality/value Ferdinand...

... to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode Future of tourism Malta Destination planning Scenario planning I’m Leslie Vella, the Deputy CEO of the Malta Tourism Authority...

... Foresight and Scenario Planning) about Evolution and Future of Scenario Planning. Design/methodology/approach A personal interview held on September 12, 2024. Findings Albert Postma highlights the importance of scenario planning and strategic foresight and its evolution. Postma explains how he...

..., race diversity, and gender equality” (Design Hotels, 2020). Faced with the unpredictable aftermath of a disastrous sudden change in tourism markets, the choice was made to use scenario planning to envision permanent long-term effects rather than looking for short-term crisis management measures...

...Jeroen Oskam; Tim Davis Purpose The purpose of this paper is to discuss the evolving interpretations of the Covid crisis and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Design/methodology/approach Scenario planning paper following Framework Foresight about the Covid pandemic and its impact...

..., the paper reminds readers of the value of scenarios as framing devices to understand the fast-moving pace of COVID-19 when New Zealand was in unchartered waters. Thus, this study highlights how a scenario-planning process builds resilience and foresight to help stakeholders and actors make sense of crisis...

... the Philippine tourism policy and development priorities using presidents’ SONA speeches are found wanting. Scenario planning approach was used as a framework. Design/methodology/approach Scenario planning approach requires inputs from an advisory group to create scenario drivers. As inputs, the presidents...

.../methodology/approach The study is framed by scenario planning, which demands a critical review of the backpacking and an appreciation of its history in order to understand its future. Findings Backpacking, ever evolving, remains difficult to articulate and challenges researchers to “keep up” with its...

... the skills and knowledge necessary to understand and critically analyse tourism public policy, planning and processes within New Zealand and a wider context. TOUR413 is a scenario planning paper, applied in a tourism context and taught to students in postgraduate programs. Originality/value The paper...

... positions and strategies. Trends Scenario planning Hospitality Sharing economy Short stay Tourist pressure © Jeroen Oskam and Albert Boswijk 2016 Published in the Journal of Tourism Futures. This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence...

...Albert Postma Purpose The purpose of this paper is to discuss the scenario planning approach developed and used by the European Tourism Futures Institute (ETFI). Design/methodology/approach This paper contains the following sections: mission and aims of the research group; epistemological...

... Strategy. Design/methodology/approach The research deployed a scenario planning methodology resulting in four portraits of the future. Findings Environmental issues and global migration are the key issues that will shape the future of New Zealand tourism. In order to address these issues four...

... document was to be officially presented on the evening of the first conference day at a meeting organized for that purpose by the QTA. Tourism Events Scenario planning Trends Qatar Legacies Investment The “Tourism in Tomorrow's World” Conference was organized to discuss the future evolution...

... to melt? Sustainability New Zealand Trends Scenario planning Eco tourism Paradise is a religious term for a place in existence that is positive, harmonious and timeless. So, could New Zealand be an eco paradise? Its “natural unspoiled beauty” (McClure, 2004), has been the main reason...