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1-17 of 17
Keywords: Scenario planning
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Journal Articles
Tourism futures dynamics theory: towards a theoretical foundation for futures studies in tourism
Open Access
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures 1–18.
Published: 24 April 2026
... to the terms of the CC BY 4.0 licence . Tourism futures dynamics theory TFDT Scenario planning Dynamics Theory development Entropy reduction Tourism is one of the sectors most exposed to uncertainty (Martínez-Roget et al., 2024 ; Pappas et al., 2023 ; Valadkhani, 2024...
Journal Articles
Integrating scenario planning with futures wheels: a sequential framework for exploring tourism futures
Open Access
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures 1–15.
Published: 15 January 2026
...Andrus H.L. Nomm; Julia Albrecht; Brent Lovelock Purpose This paper proposes and illustrates a sequential, qualitative framework that combines scenario planning and the futures wheel to enrich futures-oriented research in tourism. The aim is to generate plausible long-term perspectives on tourism...
Journal Articles
Tourism futures and Working Holiday Maker schemes: a systematic review and scenario analysis
Open Access
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures 1–21.
Published: 04 September 2025
... a consolidated overview of WHM research and introduces a scenario planning framework with four policy pathways, informing evidence-based policy development for WHM schemes. Social implications The research contributes to understanding how contemporary mobility patterns challenge traditional assumptions about...
Journal Articles
The future of tourism: interview with Nicole Ferdinand about Notting Hill Carnival Futures
Open Access
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2024) 10 (3): 428–435.
Published: 05 November 2024
... provides insights about the application of scenario planning for a mega event such as Notting Hill Carnival, how the process of scenario planning was experienced by the participants and the effect the study had on the Carnival, and how it was perceived in subsequent years. Originality/value Ferdinand...
Journal Articles
The future of tourism: an interview with Leslie Vella about the future of tourism in Malta
Open Access
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2024) 10 (3): 436–444.
Published: 31 October 2024
... of the industry to the country. Future of tourism Malta Destination planning Scenario planning I’m Leslie Vella, the Deputy CEO of the Malta Tourism Authority (MTA) and Chief Officer Strategic Development. Within that capacity, and as Managing Director of the Malta Tourism Observatory, which...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2024) 10 (3): 408–412.
Published: 11 October 2024
... Foresight and Scenario Planning) about Evolution and Future of Scenario Planning. Design/methodology/approach A personal interview held on September 12, 2024. Findings Albert Postma highlights the importance of scenario planning and strategic foresight and its evolution. Postma explains how he...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2025) 11 (1): 6–22.
Published: 05 October 2022
... Mass tourism Digital transformation Scenario planning Covid-19 Jeroen Oskam can be contacted at: j.oskam@hotelschool.nl 29 04 2022 11 07 2022 11 09 2022 20 09 2022 Faced with the unpredictable aftermath of a disastrous sudden change in tourism markets...
Journal Articles
The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again.
Open Access
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2023) 9 (1): 4–20.
Published: 27 May 2022
...Jeroen Oskam; Tim Davis Purpose The purpose of this paper is to discuss the evolving interpretations of the Covid crisis and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Design/methodology/approach Scenario planning paper following Framework Foresight about the Covid pandemic and its impact...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2022) 8 (2): 177–193.
Published: 29 March 2022
..., the paper reminds readers of the value of scenarios as framing devices to understand the fast-moving pace of COVID-19 when New Zealand was in unchartered waters. Thus, this study highlights how a scenario-planning process builds resilience and foresight to help stakeholders and actors make sense of crisis...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2021) 7 (1): 131–146.
Published: 26 August 2020
... the Philippine tourism policy and development priorities using presidents’ SONA speeches are found wanting. Scenario planning approach was used as a framework. Design/methodology/approach Scenario planning approach requires inputs from an advisory group to create scenario drivers. As inputs, the presidents...
Journal Articles
Backpacking’s future and its drifter past
Open Access
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2018) 4 (3): 193–204.
Published: 08 October 2018
.../methodology/approach The study is framed by scenario planning, which demands a critical review of the backpacking and an appreciation of its history in order to understand its future. Findings Backpacking, ever evolving, remains difficult to articulate and challenges researchers to “keep up” with its...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2018) 4 (2): 163–167.
Published: 21 February 2018
... the skills and knowledge necessary to understand and critically analyse tourism public policy, planning and processes within New Zealand and a wider context. TOUR413 is a scenario planning paper, applied in a tourism context and taught to students in postgraduate programs. Originality/value The paper...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2016) 2 (1): 22–42.
Published: 14 March 2016
... commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode Trends Scenario planning Hospitality Sharing economy Short stay Tourist pressure...
Journal Articles
Tourism in Tomorrow's World, 23‐24 February 2014, Renaissance City Center Hotel Doha, Qatar
Open Access
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2015) 1 (1): 80–85.
Published: 16 March 2015
... that can be certificated in order to produce a university award associated with in‐company programs. He advocated the creation of a partnership committee between university and industry responsible for an agenda of priorities to shape and guide activities. Tourism Events Scenario planning Trends...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2015) 1 (1): 19–35.
Published: 16 March 2015
... & non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode Sustainability New Zealand Trends Scenario planning Eco tourism Paradise is a religious...
Journal Articles
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2015) 1 (1): 46–52.
Published: 16 March 2015
...Albert Postma Purpose The purpose of this paper is to discuss the scenario planning approach developed and used by the European Tourism Futures Institute (ETFI). Design/methodology/approach This paper contains the following sections: mission and aims of the research group; epistemological...
Journal Articles
2050: New Zealand's sustainable future
Open AccessIan Yeoman, Amalina Andrade, Elisante Leguma, Natalie Wolf, Peter Ezra, Rebecca Tan, Una McMahon‐Beattie
Journal:
Journal of Tourism Futures
Journal of Tourism Futures (2015) 1 (2): 117–130.
Published: 16 March 2015
... Strategy. Design/methodology/approach The research deployed a scenario planning methodology resulting in four portraits of the future. Findings Environmental issues and global migration are the key issues that will shape the future of New Zealand tourism. In order to address these issues four...
