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Road traffic carbon dioxide emissions have a significant impact on the atmospheric environment, and changes in traffic conditions can affect these emissions; while changes in traffic state and traffic infarction can reflect traffic conditions, there are also differences in carbon dioxide emissions generated by vehicles operating on different fuels. Therefore, this paper sequentially determines quantitative indicators of traffic states and traffic infarction as well as macro control strategies to improve traffic carbon dioxide emissions. Furthermore, taking the confluence area as the object of analysis, the impact of traffic state and traffic infarction on carbon dioxide emissions is sequentially analysed with actual traffic flow data and statistical methods, and corresponding models are constructed. Meanwhile, based on the analysis results, mainline speed limit control strategies that consider the traffic state and traffic infarction, as well as the control strategy based on the combination of multiple fuel–vehicle combinations, are presented. The analysis results show that changes in both traffic states and traffic infarction can affect traffic carbon dioxide emissions from the mainline and the on-ramps, which can fundamentally affect traffic conditions. Moreover, total carbon dioxide emissions from a combination of gasoline and diesel minibuses decrease with an increase in the ratio of gasoline minibuses.

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