The detection of high-risk road segments is essential to set priorities in road rehabilitation projects. The ArcGIS tool has been used in previous studies as an alternative tool to identify high-risk segments. However, most tools use crash frequency as a safety performance measure. In this study, the aim is to investigate how ArcGIS tools, specifically kriging and inverse distance weighted (IDW) tools, can be used to find high-risk road segments using crash rate and equivalent property damage only (EPDO) metrics. A road section with a length of 85 km was selected for applying the investigated tools. Crash data with their details were collected from the official police station for 3 years. Kriging and IDW tools were processed by selecting five clusters, from the high-risk to the no-risk levels. The ranks of the segments have been compared with those resulting from the K-mean method using the t-paired test. The test results indicate that kriging and IDW yield uncorrelated segment ranks compared to the K-mean rank. In addition, using these tools produced false positives and false negative cases. According to the K-mean results, 37.8 km is diagnosed as the top highest risk segment, subjected to further crash data analysis to identify the risk factors and recommend suitable countermeasures.
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1 September 2025
Research Article|
December 05 2024
Detecting high-risk road segments using kriging and inverse distance weighted methods Available to Purchase
Doaa M. Shokat;
Doaa M. Shokat
Civil Engineering Department,
AlShaab University
, Baghdad, Iraq
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Abeer K. Jameel
Highway and Transportation Engineering, College of Engineering,
Mustansiriyah University
, Baghdad, Iraq
Corresponding author Abeer K. Jameel (abeer_khudhur@uomustansiriyah.edu.iq)
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Corresponding author Abeer K. Jameel (abeer_khudhur@uomustansiriyah.edu.iq)
Publisher: Emerald Publishing
Received:
September 12 2024
Accepted:
November 21 2024
Online ISSN: 1751-7710
Print ISSN: 0965-092X
© 2025 Emerald Publishing Limited: All rights reserved
2025
Emerald Publishing Limited
Licensed re-use rights only
Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Transport (2025) 178 (6): 430–442.
Article history
Received:
September 12 2024
Accepted:
November 21 2024
Citation
Shokat DM, Jameel AK (2025), "Detecting high-risk road segments using kriging and inverse distance weighted methods". Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Transport, Vol. 178 No. 6 pp. 430–442, doi: https://doi.org/10.1680/jtran.24.00106
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