A simulation model for generating alternative scenarios Available to Purchase

The Iuci2 urban simulation model simulates new urban development for a large region in central Indiana (USA) that includes multiple metropolitan areas. The model has been developed for use by persons without specialised expertise. It is freely distributed and may be downloaded from the Internet. Land use data for the model have been estimated from satellite imagery. Aggregate logit models have been estimated and are used to predict the probabilities of land being converted from non-urban to residential and employment-related uses for 1609-meter grid cells. A key feature of the model is the capability to generate alternative development scenarios reflecting a range of policy choices and assumptions regarding future development, ranging from the imposition of development restrictions to changes in densities of development to different overall rates of population growth. The model and its capabilities to produce alternative scenarios have been applied in a variety of planning contexts.