Predictions can be fun to make, and the temptation must be overwhelming if you're an “expert” in a field as dynamic as personal computing. For that matter, market analysts are paid to make projections. Thus, the PC field doesn't lack for insights into the future. If you base your plans on those predictions and projections rather than your understanding and a touch of caution, you can be led seriously astray. As with most other projections for the marketplace, PC predictions range from superb to awful. Worse yet, some supposedly objective analysts become advocates—coloring their projections with their hopes. To wrap up this year‐long look back at a decade of personal computing, the author notes a few of the failed predictions and assertions that litter the computer press. Hindsight is always easier than foresight, and some of these predictions should have been correct. Meanwhile, it's worth noting a few general areas where projections have gone wrong.
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1 February 1994
Review Article|
February 01 1994
Running topview on your PCJR: A lighthearted look at PC projections Available to Purchase
Walt Crawford
Walt Crawford
Past president of the Library and Information Technology Association (LITA) and is a senior analyst in the development division of The Research Libraries Group, Inc. (RLG).
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Publisher: Emerald Publishing
Online ISSN: 2054-166X
Print ISSN: 0737-8831
© MCB UP Limited
1994
Library Hi Tech (1994) 12 (2): 33–96.
Citation
Crawford W (1994), "Running topview on your PCJR: A lighthearted look at PC projections". Library Hi Tech, Vol. 12 No. 2 pp. 33–96, doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/eb047917
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