Predicting the Future Using Delphi

Background The Delphi technique was developed by a research group at the Rand Corporation in the 1950s. Its main aim was to achieve consensus whilst stifling the effect of those who, regardless of position, could be expected to influence planning decisions. Delphi is used to deal with uncertainty in an area of imperfect knowledge. As there are no “correct” answers, a consensus of opinion is an acceptable second choice.