...Cuneyt Eroglu; Nada R. Sanders Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of personality dimensions (conscientiousness, neuroticism, extraversion, agreeableness, openness to experience, locus of control) on the efficacy of judgmental adjustments of statistical forecasts...

... their deviational variables. Furthermore, demand has also been forecasted using exponential smoothing analysis. The model is verified on a real-time industrial case study. Findings This research enables DMs to analyse uncertainty scenarios in GSCM when information about different parameters are not known...

...Professor Kun-Huang Huarng and Professor Berlin Wu; Kun-Huang Huarng Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to propose an occurrence-based model to improve the forecasting of regime switches so as to assist decision making. Design/methodology/approach – This paper proposes a novel model...

...Professor Kun-Huang Huarng and Professor Berlin Wu; Tiffany Hui-Kuang Yu Purpose – Because quantile regression gets more popular and provides more comprehensive interpretations, it is important to advance quantile regression for forecasting. By extending the convention quantile regression...

... in synergy measurement practices. The strategic factors, which are considered very relevant to generating reliable forecasts, are surprisingly not adequately quantified. On the contrary, a synergy measurement model may integrate the assessment of these factors: the type of synergy, the size of synergy...

...Kun‐Huang Huarng; Tiffany Hui‐Kuang Yu Purpose This paper aims to propose a novel model to forecast regime switches in a time series to assist decision making. Design/methodology/approach The authors apply the clustering technique to group the data into five states. Then, a model is proposed...

... such as Business Environment Risk Intelligence, Inc. (BERI), provide regular projections of political risk based on a variety of observed political and social variables. Examines choice of these variables in an Asian context and assesses statistically the forecasting capability of The Economist and BERI...

... development finally gets under way it is not the material available on paper that is productive, it is what is in the team′s heads. Indeed, the first stage of scenario forecasting – the choice of the assumptions – is embedded in this supposedly earlier process of environmental analysis. It is inevitable...

... and strategic planning maturities. Theoretical applications and real‐world applications link the concept of strategic planning maturities to successful and unsuccessful strategic decisions actually made by top management in a cross‐section of large organizations. © MCB UP Limited 1995 Forecasting...

... not act like small companies will be left behind. JN But how can we say that some people can have self‐rule and others cannot, because of the difficulties it might create? © MCB UP Limited 1994 Change Democracy Forecasting Globalization Politics Single market Trends JN...

... to blend the new skills with those of the older professions. Many business decisions involve forecasting. In recent years its scope has expanded well beyond technical aspects. Addresses a broader set of managerial concerns through down‐to‐earth descriptions of forecasting, its advantages and limitations...

...James Golden; John Milewicz; Paul Herbig The function which managers most despise is the art of forecasting. By its very nature it concerns guessing the outcome of future events. No matter how sophisticated computer‐driven techniques and programs are evolved, the future has inherently within...