...Álvaro José Back; Luana Pasini Miguel Purpose The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the seasonal and spatial variations in the statistical descriptors of the Markov chain model as well as the expected values of the length of dry and wet days and to estimate the probability of dry and rainy...

... as a critical element. Search schemes have been developed to identify potentially challenging contexts (often beyond those normally considered in risk analysis). New methods for quantification are evolving. © MCB UP Limited 2002 Error cause identification Risk Probability complicating...