Does the ability of newspapers to influence readers ‘ political choices extend to third parties? In this paper, I exploit a rare third-party endorsement by the Richmond Times-Dispatch in the 2016 US Presidential election to evaluate whether voters can be persuaded by the print media to vote for an unorthodox alternative. To establish the causal effect of this endorsement, I exploit discontinuous access to the newspaper at the edges of its delivery area, combined with ZIP Code-level data on newspaper readership and vote totals. Estimates suggest that this endorsement ‘s persuasion rate was similar to those reported in previous research on major-party endorsements, despite the substantial barriers faced by third parties and their potential supporters. This suggests that newspapers could draw voters away from major parties if they more frequently endorsed and covered them and, consequently, that the typical pattern of endorsing and covering major parties buttresses the Democratic-Republican party system.
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30 October 2018
Research Article|
October 30 2018
The Print Media and the American Party System: Evidence from the 2016 US Presidential Election Available to Purchase
Michael P. Olson
Department of Government,
Harvard University
, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
* Thanks to Jeremy Bowles, Riley Carney, Shom Mazumder, Jon Rogowski, Jim Snyder, and two anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments, and to David Kirkman from the Richmond Times-Dispatch for his insights. ** Although the QJPS replicates every article and is committed to making replication material available, this article makes use of proprietary data that cannot be publicly shared. The results were replicated by our replication assistant, but the data is not included in the replication files available on the QJPS website. The associated replication file contains the code needed for scholars with access to the data to fully replicate the reported result.
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* Thanks to Jeremy Bowles, Riley Carney, Shom Mazumder, Jon Rogowski, Jim Snyder, and two anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments, and to David Kirkman from the Richmond Times-Dispatch for his insights. ** Although the QJPS replicates every article and is committed to making replication material available, this article makes use of proprietary data that cannot be publicly shared. The results were replicated by our replication assistant, but the data is not included in the replication files available on the QJPS website. The associated replication file contains the code needed for scholars with access to the data to fully replicate the reported result.
Online ISSN: 1554-0634
Print ISSN: 1554-0626
© 2018 M. P. Olson
2018
M. P. Olson
Licensed re-use rights only
Quarterly Journal of Political Science (2018) 13 (4): 405–426.
Citation
Olson MP (2018), "The Print Media and the American Party System: Evidence from the 2016 US Presidential Election". Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Vol. 13 No. 4 pp. 405–426, doi: https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00017115
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