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Keywords: ：旅游需求、时变参数（TVP）模型、计量经济模型、结构性变化、建模与预测
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Journal Articles
Journal:
Tourism Review
Tourism Review (2026) 81 (1): 104–127.
Published: 03 July 2025
... these states occur according to defined probabilities. The traditional MS model is expressed as follows: Tourism demand Time-varying parameter models Econometric models Structural changes Modelling and forecasting ：旅游需求、时变参数（TVP）模型、计量经济模型、结构性变化、建模与预测 The Hong Kong Polytechnic University...
