... models, including their use in predicting demand fluctuations caused by external shocks and optimizing tourism policy. Originality/value This review contributes to the literature by synthesising the development of TVP models in tourism demand modelling and forecasting, offering insights for researchers...

... is to provide a narrative review of previous research on tourism demand modelling and forecasting and potential future developments. Design/methodology/approach A narrative approach is taken in this review of the current body of knowledge. Findings Significant methodological advancements in tourism...