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Significance

Opposition parties reject the new dates, stating that their main demand is for Nkurunziza to step down before polls take place. The new dates adhere to East African Community (EAC) recommendations to delay elections. While the regional bloc may have more influence over Burundi than other external players, it will struggle to play an effective diplomatic role in ending the political crisis.

Impacts

A prolonged crisis will worsen a poorly performing economy, which is heavily dependent on foreign support.

Belgium, the largest donor, may cut further bilateral support should Nkurunziza secure a third mandate.

Economic disruption continues to hurt agricultural supply chains across the country, risking food security.

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