Open figure viewer
Significance
His comments come shortly after Iraq's parliament impeached Defence Minister Khalid al-Ubaydi on August 25. As a result, Iraq now has two key security portfolios unfilled, following the July 5 resignation of Interior Minister Muhammad Ghaban.
Impacts
The loss of Mosul will mark the end of Islamic State group's (ISG) 'caliphate' project.
ISG will step up efforts to start a sectarian war around Baghdad and Diyala province.
Turkey and the Iraqi Kurds will seek to dominate Mosul's next local government.
Shia militias in Baghdad and southern Iraq will seek to profit from the concentration of government forces in Mosul.
The campaign will boost the Democratic campaign in November's US presidential elections.
Keywords:
Iraq,
ME/NAF,
United States,
international relations,
civil war,
guerrillas,
military,
security,
terrorism
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2016
You do not currently have access to this content.
