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Significance
South Sudan's war-blighted economy is expected to contract by 3.5% in 2017, compared with 13.8% last year, thanks to modest increases in oil prices. Persistent reports of corruption and suspected war crimes perpetrated by government forces have exhausted much of the goodwill from international donors. Economic and humanitarian conditions are perilous for many of the population.
Impacts
Any macroeconomic improvements are at risk if the protracted civil conflict continues.
Livestock farming, agriculture and urban subsistence will remain sources of basic economic resilience.
The threat of sanctions against Kiir is unlikely to alter his stance given that most of his assets are based in the region.
Keywords:
South Sudan,
AF,
economy,
industry,
international relations,
politics,
social,
civil war,
debt,
fiscal,
government,
growth,
oil,
opposition,
policy,
war
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2017
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