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Significance

ICTY’s final verdict on six Bosnian Croat war criminals was a major blow to Zagreb, as it confirmed the Croatian wartime leadership’s responsibility for atrocities in Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) during the 1992-95 war. Croatian and Bosnian Croat politicians have mostly adopted partisan positions, bluntly rejecting the ruling.

Impacts

ICTY’s catastrophic security failure has overshadowed its already controversial record in the Balkans.

Bosnian Croat and Croatian challenges to the court’s work will further weaken US, EU and other international positions in the Balkans.

Balkan tensions could boil over into interethnic violence.

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