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Subject

Talks to decide the Caspian Sea's status.

Significance

A working group representing the five states around the Caspian Sea meets this month to prepare for a summit promised before July. The littoral states are said to be close to agreeing the legal position of the sea, but Iran's assent is far from certain.

Impacts

A Caspian convention will not solve contested claims to mid-sea oil reserves.

Environmental protection could end up being sacrificed to the exploration and development of untapped hydrocarbon reserves.

Trans-Caspian shipping will be boosted by its role in the Eurasian transport networks of China's Belt and Road initiative.

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