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Significance

Home to major liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects, the northern province has been beset by a spate of alleged Islamist militant attacks in recent weeks, with at least 40 people killed. While the FRELIMO government has recently trumpeted progress in the protracted peace talks with rebel movement RENAMO, worsening security problems in Cabo Delgado are threatening investments that are crucial to easing a persistent debt crisis.

Impacts

Private-sector development will be further hindered by high interest rates and unpaid government arrears.

Cooperation between RENAMO and the Mozambique Democratic Movement (MDM) may increase ahead of the local elections.

Cabo Delgado terrorism could overshadow RENAMO-linked insecurity in the short term.

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