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Subject
Italy's League party.
Significance
Italy’s far-right League (the former Northern League) seeks to expand its influence in southern Italy, which has been a stronghold for the League’s coalition partner, the anti-establishment Five Star Movement (M5S). The League’s growing popularity in the south could force it to call a general election after May’s European Parliament (EP) elections.
Impacts
The Italian government will bolster its anti-immigrant agenda ahead of the EP elections.
Further electoral success of Italy’s ruling parties could encourage populist movements elsewhere in the EU.
The continued success of far-right politics in Italy will damage financial-market confidence in Italian bonds.
Keywords:
Italy,
EUR,
EU,
economy,
politics,
social,
election,
fiscal,
government,
immigration,
party,
regional,
population,
protest,
refugees,
employment,
nationality,
public sector
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2018
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