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Subject

The economic outlook for Japan amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

Significance

Japan has had unusually few confirmed cases of COVID-19, but government advisers warn that a recent spike could lead to a runaway spread that overwhelms the health system. In response, the government declared a state of emergency on April 7 and announced a huge fiscal stimulus package. Compared to other countries, the emergency measures are far more lenient and the economic stimulus package more generous.

Impacts

Exports are collapsing, as well as tourism, hotels, entertainment venues and air travel.

Remote working, which fewer than 20% of Japanese firms currently practise, will receive a boost.

The government stimulus package is likely to be smaller than headline figures suggest.

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