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Significance
This would displace the incumbent Nationale Democratische Partij (National Democratic Party, NDP) of President Desire ‘Desi’ Bouterse, which has been in power since 2010. Bouterse has challenged the results and called for a recount, indicating that any transfer of power will be fraught and vulnerable to political negotiations and potential unrest.
Impacts
Prolonged political uncertainty will exacerbate the negative economic impacts of the COVID-19 shutdown.
Electoral protests could deter some investment, such as in the nascent oil and gas sector.
A successful push by Bouterse to remain in power could embolden the government in neighbouring Guyana to do the same.
Keywords:
Suriname,
LA/C,
Guyana,
economy,
industry,
politics,
social,
election,
foreign investment,
government,
judicial,
opposition,
crime,
gas,
oil
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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