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Significance
This marks another twist in the country’s electoral saga, with elections delayed by over a year and then subject to a recount. It seems increasingly clear that President David Granger is unwilling to leave office despite the opposition’s apparent victory. Attempts to prolong the current administration risk increased civil unrest and deteriorating legal security.
Impacts
Confirming an opposition victory could aid stability, but Granger would be unlikely to accept the result.
The potential departure of Suriname’s President Desi Bouterse could influence the outcome of Guyana’s own dispute.
Continuing electoral doubts could raise questions on the legality of subsequent government contracts, potentially affecting the oil sector.
Keywords:
Guyana,
LA/C,
Caribbean,
Suriname,
economy,
industry,
politics,
corruption,
election,
foreign investment,
government,
judicial,
oil,
opposition,
party,
Fossil fuels
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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