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Significance

Even if firmer evidence emerges, few recorded attacks are likely to be attributable to Russian payments. The main thrust of Russian policy has now shifted from helping the Taliban to supporting US efforts to withdraw from Afghanistan.

Impacts

The story may have the limited effect of making Russia communicate its aims on Afghanistan more clearly.

The claims will remain a US campaign issue as they touch on Trump's judgement, care for the military and willingness to confront Russia.

True or not, the claims will reinforce Moscow's reputation as a ruthless and determined player.

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