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Significance
The Arctic memorandum signals greater concern in the US defence community and Congress over rising great-power competition in the region. Russia has become more assertive militarily, while China is seeking greater presence, including in 2018 expressing interest in building airfields in Greenland.
Impacts
Trump’s scepticism about NATO will make coordinating with allies over the Arctic more difficult.
China and the United States will both seek access to Arctic natural resources.
Greater US focus on the Arctic could cause tensions with Canada over the Northwest Passage.
Keywords:
United States,
Arctic,
NA,
China,
Russia,
international relations,
defence,
environment,
natural resources,
security,
shipping,
election,
hard commodities,
party
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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