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Significance
Prime Minister Boris Johnson talks of a “calibrated” China policy that combines toughness in particular areas with continued engagement in others.
Impacts
Migration of Hongkongers to the United Kingdom in large numbers would invigorate anti-Beijing activism.
Chinese investments in UK nuclear power are unlikely to proceed as planned.
Beijing’s extraterritorial attempts to suppress dissent in the United Kingdom will intensify.
Universities and researchers should expect a push for government-mandated reviews of UK-China research and educational partnerships.
Beijing may target particular firms or economic sectors to ‘punish’ London, but most bilateral trade will continue.
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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