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Significance
Sandu, the pro-EU, reformist challenger, defied public opinion polls and early results to become the principal beneficiary of a large turnout among Moldovans abroad, almost twice those voting in the first-round 2016 presidential election. As neither scored over 50%, Sandu and Dodon will contest a second round on November 15.
Impacts
Electoral discourse around Moldova's external orientation will become more pointed.
Dodon failed to anticipate a strong showing by a pro-Western and pro-reform diaspora.
Practical voter mobilisation on both sides will be complicated by the pandemic.
Keywords:
Moldova,
RUCIS,
CIS,
EU,
Russia,
international relations,
politics,
social,
election,
foreign policy,
health,
opposition,
party,
immigration
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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