Open figure viewer
Significance
The economic power of both Santa Cruz (Bolivia) and Guayaquil (Ecuador) has long had important and sometimes destabilising impacts on national politics. Ecuador and Bolivia are unusual in Latin America in the strength of regional political pressures.
Impacts
Regionalism will remain more confrontational in Bolivia than in Ecuador.
Arce will broadly respect the economic autonomy of Santa Cruz and avoid confrontational policies such as land reform.
A Lasso presidency in Ecuador would reassure the business community and strengthen a liberal economic regime.
Keywords:
Bolivia,
Ecuador,
LA/C,
BOLIVIA/ECUADOR,
economy,
politics,
social,
election,
government,
opposition,
party,
regional,
agriculture,
gas
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
You do not currently have access to this content.
